The effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks were studied. The outbreaks were assumed to appear randomly. An adaptive control scheme was derived that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. A transition approach was used that predicts large outbreaks prior to their occurrence. The theory was found to be applicable to a wide range of stochastic processes.
|Journal||Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics|
|Issue number||4 2|
|State||Published - 1 Oct 2004|