TY - GEN
T1 - Parallel prediction of stock volatility
AU - Jenq, Priscilla
AU - Jenq, John
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© by the International Institute of Informatics and Systemics.
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - The financial industry is an industry that requires multidisciplinary expertise. To be a good financial engineer, one should possess skills in math, finance, economics, and coding. Volatility is a measurement of the risk of financial products. A stock will hit new highs and lows over time and if these highs and lows fluctuate wildly, then it is considered a high volatile stock. Such a stock is considered riskier than a stock whose volatility is low. High tech stocks usually have high volatility. Although these stocks are riskier, the returns that they generate for investors can be quite high. Of course, with a riskier stock also comes the chance of losing money and yielding negative returns. In this project, we will use historic stock data to help us forecast volatility. The financial industry usually uses S&P 500 as the indictor of the market. Therefore, S&P 500 would be a benchmark to compute the risk. We will use artificial neural networks as a tool to predict volatilities for a period of time frame that will be set when we configure this neural network. There have been reports that neural networks with different numbers of layers and different numbers of hidden nodes may generate varying results. As a matter of fact, we may be able to find the best configuration of a neural network to compute volatilities. We will implement this system using the parallel approach. The system can be used as a tool for investors to allocating and hedging assets.
AB - The financial industry is an industry that requires multidisciplinary expertise. To be a good financial engineer, one should possess skills in math, finance, economics, and coding. Volatility is a measurement of the risk of financial products. A stock will hit new highs and lows over time and if these highs and lows fluctuate wildly, then it is considered a high volatile stock. Such a stock is considered riskier than a stock whose volatility is low. High tech stocks usually have high volatility. Although these stocks are riskier, the returns that they generate for investors can be quite high. Of course, with a riskier stock also comes the chance of losing money and yielding negative returns. In this project, we will use historic stock data to help us forecast volatility. The financial industry usually uses S&P 500 as the indictor of the market. Therefore, S&P 500 would be a benchmark to compute the risk. We will use artificial neural networks as a tool to predict volatilities for a period of time frame that will be set when we configure this neural network. There have been reports that neural networks with different numbers of layers and different numbers of hidden nodes may generate varying results. As a matter of fact, we may be able to find the best configuration of a neural network to compute volatilities. We will implement this system using the parallel approach. The system can be used as a tool for investors to allocating and hedging assets.
KW - Artificial neural network
KW - Parallel processing
KW - Volatility
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85032381398&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85032381398
T3 - WMSCI 2017 - 21st World Multi-Conference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics, Proceedings
SP - 26
EP - 29
BT - WMSCI 2017 - 21st World Multi-Conference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics, Proceedings
A2 - Callaos, Nagib C.
A2 - Savoie, Michael
A2 - Tremante, Andres
A2 - Sanchez, Belkis
PB - International Institute of Informatics and Systemics, IIIS
T2 - 21st World Multi-Conference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics, WMSCI 2017
Y2 - 8 July 2017 through 11 July 2017
ER -